Fig. 4: Relationship between SM and VPD.

a Mean PMF of concurrent extreme SM (below the 30th percentile) and VPD (above the 90th percentile) for the period 2000–2020 based on three datasets. b Mean probability (%) of percentile bins of SM and VPD across all land grid points. c Spatial relationship between the frequency of occurrence of flash droughts and the PMF of SM and VPD extremes (below the 30th percentile SM and above the 90th percentile VPD). d Spatial relationship between the frequency of occurrence of flash droughts and the PMF of SM and VPD extremes (below the 20th percentile SM and above the 90th percentile VPD). Each point in c and d is the mean of the results from three datasets.