Fig. 5: Relationship between earth system sensitivity (ESS, °C), equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS, °C), and ability to reproduce mid-Pliocene proxy hydroclimate state by different models.
From: Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks

Proxy data-model agreement measured by Gwet’s ACs as a function of a global mean surface warming (δTs, which quantifies ESSs), and b ECSs of these models. δTs and ECSs are from ref. 33. Boxplots show the spread of Gwet’s AC (1st, 2nd, and 3rd quantiles, upper and lower fences, and outliers if any) from using 20–60% of δ(P–E) as thresholds (Method).