Fig. 2: Mixed layer heat budget analysis during El Niño events for CESM-LENS.
From: Projections of faster onset and slower decay of El Niño in the 21st century

The top row shows the composites for the heating tendency, thermocline feedback, zonal advective feedback, Ekman feedback, and residual term from Eq. 1 (color, W m−2) and the heat content anomaly (green contours, 108 J m−2) for the 20th Century (20 C). Bottom row shows the projected future change in the composite, for the 21st minus the 20th Century (21 C). All terms are computed assuming a constant 75 m mixed layer depth. See text for references to points A, B, and C. Only showing composite anomalies exceeding the 95th percentile significance level based on a bootstrapping technique (see Methods).