Table 1 Median absolute percentage errors (MdAPEs) for prediction of new daily hospitalizations, across the first pandemic wave (June 8–July 3, 2020), the summer period (July 4–October 18, 2020), and the second pandemic wave (October 19–November 29, 2020).
Median absolute percentage errors (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
First wave June 8–July 3, 2020 | Summer period July 4–October 18, 2020 | Second wave October 19–November 29, 2020 | |
All 21 regions combined | 37.0 | 48.2 | 42.4 |
Top 5 most populated regionsa | 25.9 | 38.6 | 26.8 |
Blekinge | 41.4 | 67.6 | 55.8 |
Dalarna | 58.5 | 49.4 | 47.7 |
Gotland | 48.3 | 83.5 | 49.2 |
Gävleborg | 29.4 | 54.1 | 44.0 |
Halland | 39.4 | 49.8 | 73.4 |
Jämtland | 31.9 | 74.5 | 51.6 |
Jönköping | 32.4 | 45.5 | 28.5 |
Kalmar | 52.5 | 53.7 | 44.7 |
Kronoberg | 53.4 | 69.4 | 52.5 |
Norrbotten | 40.3 | 50.3 | 68.6 |
Skåne | 24.3 | 46.8 | 18.9 |
Stockholm | 12.2 | 31.6 | 16.6 |
Södermanland | 54.2 | 37.6 | 44.8 |
Uppsala | 40.5 | 60.1 | 31.1 |
Värmland | 41.0 | 55.1 | 43.7 |
Västerbotten | 60.9 | 48.2 | 34.2 |
Västernorrland | 36.3 | 54.1 | 42.9 |
Västmanland | 39.3 | 49.1 | 30.2 |
Västra Götaland | 20.4 | 35.3 | 22.4 |
Örebro | 27.0 | 46.1 | 67.9 |
Östergötland | 55.2 | 40.2 | 43.9 |