Fig. 7: Screening and vaccine effectiveness affect transition points to majority-breakthrough regimes.

The vaccination rates at which the vaccinated population makes up the majority of a infections, b transmission, and c hospitalizations for low, moderate, and high vaccine effectiveness scenarios. Minimum (filled circle) and maximum (open circle) endpoints show the variation in transition points over all combinations of vaccination and prior infection rates for no screening (black), 50% compliance (purple), 99% compliance (pink) over all possible values for past infection rates. \({R}_{0}^{{{\mbox{NPI}}}}\,=4\) for all plots; see Supplementary Fig. 7 for \({R}_{0}^{{{\mbox{NPI}}}}\,=6\).