Table 1 Mean time of most recent common ancestors (tMRCA) for NSW/ACT/VIC 2020 and WA 2020 clades estimated by different methods.

From: Off-season RSV epidemics in Australia after easing of COVID-19 restrictions

Method

tMRCA (NSW/ACT/VIC)a

tMRCA (WA)a

Evolution rate (per site per year)

Beast

2020-01-10 [2019-11-05, 2020-03-16]

2019-11-23 [2019-08-08, 2020-02-20]

6.624 × 10−4

Beast-SLACb

2020-05-03 [2020-03-16, 2020-06-20]

2020-06-03 [2020-04-01, 2020-07-25]

NSW/ACT/VIC: 9.092 × 10−4 WA: 1.124 × 10−3

Beast-SNAPb

2020-03-25 [2020-01-31, 2020-05-18]

2020-05-06 [2020-02-26, 2020-07-03]

NSW/ACT/VIC: 8.070 × 10−4 WA: 1.021 × 10−3

Beast-Contrast-FELb

2020-05-08 [2020-03-22, 2020-06-25]

2020-06-01 [2020-03-30, 2020-07-24]

NSW/ACT/VIC: 9.245 × 10−4 WA: 1.117 × 10−3

  1. aRanges in brackets show confidence intervals (95% highest probability densities).
  2. btMRCA corrected according to dN/dS ratio.