Fig. 1: Spatial footprint of zero-deforestation supply chain policy scenarios.
From: Leakage does not fully offset soy supply-chain efforts to reduce deforestation in Brazil
a, b Municipality-level market shares of companies with voluntary zero-deforestation commitments [Amazon Soy Moratorium (ASM) and Global ZDCs]. c–e Municipality market shares of companies that export to the EU (c), China (d), or both (e). Panels (f–j) depict the percentages of Brazil’s soy and land covers subject to these zero-deforestation supply chain policy, with vertical lines providing the range of outcomes based on >0% [top of line], ≥50% [intersection of line with bar] and ≥75% [bottom of line] thresholds used to determine if a municipality is subject to zero-deforestation supply chain policies. The number (%) indicates coverage under the most restrictive market coverage threshold (≥75%). For instance, in the ASM scenario, 10% of Brazil’s forests (located in the municipalities with a ≥75% market share in panel (a)), cannot be converted to agriculture. Thus, increases in soy area would occur by converting non soy cropland or pastures within Brazil, or elsewhere in the world. Sources: TRASE50 and Mapbiomas54.
