Fig. 3: Drivers for future changes in the radiative heat flux over the Arabian Sea (AS) and Southeastern Indian Ocean (SEIO).

Time series of vertically integrated cloud cover over the a AS from 1850–2100 for 50 ensemble members. Inset plot (i) in (a) shows the time series of the long-wave cloud forcing (LWCF), short-wave cloud forcing (SWCF), and net (LWCF + SWCF) cloud forcing, and (ii) represents the changes in cloud liquid amount, cloud ice amount and cloud fraction over the AS from the surface to 300 hPa. Note that IO mean is removed from each area-averaged time series over the AS. All the time series are relative to the 1850–2014 baseline, and finally, the 15-years running mean is calculated. b Same as (a) but for SEIO. Thick (thin) lines represent the ensemble mean (individual ensemble members) in all the plots.