Table 1 Properties of single model initial condition large ensemble (SMILEs) used in this study
Number of members | Model resolution | Forcing | Model time period | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Climate Model | 2000 (0.7 °C) | 2020 (1.2 °C) | 1.5 °C | 2.0 °C | |||
CESM1.2 | 84 | 1.9° × 2.5° | Hist/rcp8.5 | 1989–2008 | 2006–2025 | 2014–2033 | 2027–2046 |
CESM1-CAM5 | 40 | 1.3° × 0.9° | Hist/rcp8.5 | 1990–2009 | 2007–2026 | 2015–2034 | 2028–2047 |
CanESM2 | 50 | 2.8° × 2.8° | Hist/rcp8.5 | 1982–2001 | 1995–2014 | 2003–2022 | 2016–2035 |
GFDL-ESM2M | 30 | 2.0° × 2.5° | Hist/rcp8.5 | 1988–2007 | 2010–2029 | 2024–2043 | 2042–2061 |
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | 30 | 1.9° × 1.9° | Hist/rcp8.5 | 1996–2015 | 2014–2033 | 2022–2041 | 2035–2054 |
