Fig. 2: Global food system indicators in 2020 and 2050 across scenarios (REF, 10%, 25%, 50% and 90% substitution globally).
From: Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives
Scenarios assume global substitution scope, all products, free trade sourcing, inefficient processing. Alternative scenario results are reported in the Supplementary Materials 4, 5 and 6. ASF products in figures (a) and (c) consist of the substituted products: beef, chicken, pork and milk and other ASFs: eggs and other meat (sheep and goat meat). On (a) novel alternatives recipes: five for beef (R1–R5) and two for each of the other products (R1–R2), included in the scenarios are detailed in “Methods”. b Total use of crops in dry matter equivalent for food, feed, as components of the novel alternatives and other uses. In (c) the price changes were calculated using the Paasche index. The index excludes the novel alternatives prices, which are not considered in this study. In (d) regional abbreviations: Brazil (BRA), China (CHN), Former Soviet Union (FSU), India (IND), Middle East and North Africa (MEN), Other Asia (OAS), Other South America (OSA), Southeast Asia (SEA), Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), Oceania (ANZ), Canada (CAN), Europe (EUR), United States (USA).
