Fig. 1: Global primary energy supply (in exajoules, EJ) from coal, oil, and gas as modelled by the AR6-assessed mitigation scenarios consistent with limiting warming to 2 °C or below.
From: Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions
In panels a–i, the 2010–2100 annual timeseries of the following are plotted at 5-year intervals within a given temperature category (C1-C3): individual pathways (light lines); median pathways (dark lines); and the interquartile range (IQR, shadings). Panels j–l show the boxplot distributions of the 2020–2100 cumulative primary energy supply from coal, oil, and gas across the scenario ensemble within each temperature category. The horizontal center line depicts the median, the box spans the IQR between the 25th percentile (Q1) and 75th percentile (Q3), the lower whisker represents the minimum value or Q1 − 1.5 x IQR (whichever is larger), and the upper whisker represents the maximum value or Q3 + 1.5 x IQR (whichever is smaller).
