Table 3 Statistical analysis of individual MPXV/VACV antigens in detecting Smallpox- or MPXV-specific antibody responses

From: Monkeypox virus-infected individuals mount comparable humoral immune responses as Smallpox-vaccinated individuals

Virus

Protein

Area under the ROC curve (both)

Dunnett’s multiple comparisons test (versus negative samples)

ROC analysis (versus negative)

Smallpox vaccine

Mpox convalescent

Both

Total area

Std. error

95% confidence interval

P value

PD1 D24

PD2 D14

PD2 D43

PD2 D63

MPX

Cutoff

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

LR

Cutoff

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

LR

Cutoff

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

LR

≥2022

MPXV

A5

0.7064

0.04359

0.6210 to 0.7919

<0.0001

0.998

0.2562

0.9744

0.9985

<0.0001

>0.3038

8.333

98.41

5.25

>0.1903

34.78

95.24

7.304

>0.1903

24.39

95.24

5.122

A14

0.6639

0.04553

0.5746 to 0.7531

0.0007

0.995

0.9392

0.4461

0.9814

0.0041

>0.2849

8.333

98.41

5.25

>0.1828

23.91

95.24

5.022

>0.2661

9.756

98.41

6.146

A26

0.5494

0.04802

0.4552 to 0.6435

0.3091

0.9283

0.9987

0.9977

0.9918

0.0413

<0.1448

100

4.762

1.05

>0.1233

17.39

95.24

3.652

>0.1233

10.98

95.24

2.305

A27

0.9909

0.005213

0.9807 to 1.000

<0.0001

0.0394

0.9989

0.994

0.9981

<0.0001

>0.1701

11.11

98.48

7.306

>0.1838

91.3

98.86

80.04

>0.1383

58.54

96.58

17.11

A29

0.7243

0.0414

0.6431 to 0.8054

<0.0001

0.9998

0.0072

0.9999

>0.9999

<0.0001

>0.2443

8.333

98.41

5.25

>0.1344

71.74

93.65

11.3

>0.1475

42.68

95.24

8.963

A33

0.6155

0.04695

0.5235 to 0.7075

0.0173

0.9743

0.677

0.4456

0.0833

0.0037

>0.1127

8.333

96.83

2.625

>0.1135

23.91

96.83

7.533

>0.1266

12.2

98.41

7.683

A35

0.8878

0.02824

0.8325 to 0.9432

<0.0001

0.9996

<0.0001

0.1738

0.9561

<0.0001

>0.2443

61.11

93.65

9.625

>0.2423

93.48

93.65

14.72

>0.2423

79.27

93.65

12.48

A36

0.5505

0.04877

0.4549 to 0.6461

0.2978

>0.9999

0.5128

0.7373

0.9058

0.5869

>0.1365

50

76.19

2.1

<0.3010

97.83

15.87

1.163

>0.1055

46.34

71.43

1.622

A44

0.567

0.04769

0.4735 to 0.6605

0.1676

0.6103

0.6583

>0.9999

0.9997

0.13

<0.1384

94.44

9.524

1.044

>0.1254

28.26

90.48

2.967

>0.1232

19.51

90.48

2.049

B2

0.9743

0.0121

0.9505 to 0.9980

<0.0001

0.4434

<0.0001

<0.0001

0.0029

<0.0001

>0.1827

91.67

87.3

7.219

>0.2980

93.48

93.65

14.72

>0.3437

89.02

95.24

18.7

B5

0.651

0.04596

0.5609 to 0.7411

0.0019

0.9944

0.0023

0.9386

0.9969

0.7119

>0.1165

75

58.73

1.817

>0.1610

56.52

69.84

1.874

>0.1275

64.63

61.9

1.697

B6

0.9383

0.02286

0.8934 to 0.9831

<0.0001

0.9997

<0.0001

<0.0001

0.0078

<0.0001

>0.1830

77.78

95.24

16.33

>0.1932

89.13

95.24

18.72

>0.1830

84.15

95.24

17.67

C15

0.5407

0.04873

0.4452 to 0.6362

0.4045

0.9955

0.9997

0.9222

0.2299

0.9961

<0.1354

97.22

11.11

1.094

<0.1382

95.45

11.11

1.074

<0.1382

96.25

11.11

1.083

C18*

0.6045

0.04828

0.5098 to 0.6991

0.0323

0.9999

0.9999

>0.9999

0.9612

0.2184

>0.3874

88.89

31.75

1.302

>0.3943

88.64

31.75

1.299

>0.3874

88.75

31.75

1.3

C19

0.5853

0.04734

0.4925 to 0.6781

0.0789

0.8182

0.9722

0.8888

0.0017

0.3028

>0.1193

2.778

98.41

1.75

>0.1193

6.522

98.41

4.109

>0.1193

4.878

98.41

3.073

D13

0.6453

0.04581

0.5555 to 0.7351

0.0028

0.9998

0.9982

0.5232

0.9976

0.0006

>0.1205

13.89

92.06

1.75

>0.1163

34.78

92.06

4.383

>0.1163

25.61

92.06

3.227

D14

0.5681

0.04849

0.4731 to 0.6632

0.1603

0.9997

0.9999

0.9999

0.9997

0.4863

>0.1295

0

98.41

0

>0.1035

8.696

96.83

2.739

>0.1035

4.878

96.83

1.537

E8

0.9123

0.02532

0.8627 to 0.9619

<0.0001

0.9999

<0.0001

<0.0001

0.0118

<0.0001

>0.1406

72.22

98.41

45.5

>0.1357

80.43

98.41

50.67

>0.1357

76.83

98.41

48.4

F3

0.6087

0.0476

0.5154 to 0.7020

0.0259

>0.9999

0.6754

0.9713

0.968

0.0003

>0.1067

5.556

98.41

3.5

>0.1071

22.73

98.41

14.32

>0.1067

15

98.41

9.45

H3

0.6998

0.04355

0.6144 to 0.7851

<0.0001

0.9983

0.3433

0.1102

0.8603

0.0185

>0.1125

30.56

88.89

2.75

>0.1349

60.87

92.06

7.67

>0.1125

48.78

88.89

4.39

I1

0.6066

0.0514

0.5059 to 0.7074

0.0395

0.4004

0.302

0.4065

0.4221

0.9858

<0.1253

100

1.961

1.02

<0.1099

100

3.922

1.041

<0.1099

100

3.922

1.041

L1

0.5136

0.04843

0.4187 to 0.6086

0.7786

0.9364

>0.9999

0.1092

0.9347

0.9707

<0.1615

97.22

1.587

0.9879

>0.1052

6.522

95.24

1.37

>0.1388

6.098

98.41

3.841

L4

0.5124

0.04802

0.4183 to 0.6065

0.7985

0.0015

0.6977

0.9759

0.9874

0.5095

>0.1263

13.89

98.41

8.75

<0.2919

97.83

0

0.9783

>0.1053

15.85

96.83

4.994

M1

0.8097

0.05218

0.7074 to 0.9120

<0.0001

0.9997

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

0.1207

>0.1164

63.89

98.01

32.07

>0.1154

11.11

98.01

5.578

>0.1154

34.57

98.01

17.35

VACV

A27

0.7754

0.03866

0.6996 to 0.8511

<0.0001

0.9998

0.4736

0.6861

0.9869

<0.0001

>0.1352

38.89

72.58

1.418

>0.3706

80.43

90.32

8.312

>0.3706

53.66

90.32

5.545

A33

0.9185

0.0252

0.8691 to 0.9679

<0.0001

0.9998

<0.0001

<0.0001

0.0449

<0.0001

>0.2106

75

94

12.5

>0.1387

84.78

94

14.13

>0.1387

80.49

94

13.41

B5

0.9408

0.02086

0.8999 to 0.9817

<0.0001

0.983

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

>0.1657

86.11

92.06

10.85

>0.1138

86.96

90.48

9.13

>0.1138

87.8

90.48

9.22

Pooled antigen ELISA

0.9834

0.01037

0.9630 to 1.000

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

<0.0001

>0.1926

97.22

98.22

54.77

>0.2350

95.65

98.22

53.88

>0.1926

96.34

98.22

54.27

  1. ROC analysis was performed for each assay (single antigen and pooled antigens) comparing the absorbance values of all negative samples versus either post-Smallpox vaccine, mpox convalescent or both sample groups combined. The sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratio (LR) values for each group, alone or combined, are reported for chosen absorbance cutoffs. Area under the ROC curve values are reported for both sample groups combined apart from MPXV A27 and MPXV M1R where values for mpox convalescent samples only and post-Smallpox vaccine samples only are reported, respectively. Dunnett’s multiple comparisons test was used for each group, relative to the negative control samples.* - non-specific binding was observed to C18.