Fig. 5: Influence of anthropogenic forcing on local warming hiatus.
From: Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus
a Relative change in decadal variability of surface air temperature over land (red-blue shading; variance ratio of 11-year running mean winter temperatures in ramp-up experiments and pre-industrial (PI) control simulation). Values greater than one indicate increased decadal variability and smaller values indicate decreased variability under anthropogenic warming. Purple-brown shading indicates SST trends in the ramp-up experiment. Regions with statistically significant changes at the 95% confidence level are marked by small crosses. Probability of a warming hiatus (number of events per century) over (b) East Asia and (c) North America in the ramp-up and PI experiments. Error bars represent 5th and 95th percentile ranges from ramp-up to compare with PI (Methods).
