Table 1 Main hypotheses relating effects of Marine Protected Areas (MPA) on site (alpha) stability, species stability and asynchrony, compared to open areas (OA)
From: Marine protected areas promote stability of reef fish communities under climate warming
Hypothesized relationships | Predicted effect | Mechanisms | References |
|---|---|---|---|
Within sites (communities) | |||
MPA → alpha stability | MPA are more stable than OA. | Greater stability (lower fluctuations) in abundance of individual species and greater functional richness increases stability in MPA compared to OA. | |
MPA → species stability → alpha stability | Stronger positive relationship between alpha stability and species stability in MPA than OA. | MPA increase alpha stability by maintaining more stable populations compared to OA. | |
§MPA → asynchrony → alpha stability | The contribution of asynchrony to stability is stronger (weaker) in MPA than OA. | MPA increase (decrease) asynchrony if relieve from fishing and direct human disturbances induce divergent (coherent) temporal fluctuations in fishes. | |
MPA → MHW → species and alpha stability | Alpha and species stability decline more abruptly with intensifying MHW in OA than MPAs. | MPA buffer reef fishes from MHW by maintaining greater population abundances, functional richness and asynchronous fluctuations, all of which contribute to increase stability. | |
MPA → Remoteness → species and alpha stability | Stronger positive relationship between alpha and species stability with remoteness in MPA than OA. | Remote MPA are relieved from both fishing and direct human impacts, whereas fishing can still impact remote sites in OA, decreasing alpha and species stability. | |
MPA → temperature niche | Stronger positive relationship between the abundance of thermally resistant species with intensifying MHW in MPA than OA. | MPA support higher fish abundances and promote stability by allowing thermally resistant species to attain large population sizes under intensifying warming conditions. | |
Among sites (metacommunities) | |||
MPA → gamma stability and underlying mechanisms | Greater asynchrony and stability in MPA than OA at the metacommunity scale. | Local effects of MPA on species stability and asynchrony scale-up at the metacommunity level. | |
Size of MPA network → gamma stability and underlying mechanisms | Differences between MPA and OA increase with the size of MPA networks. | Gamma stability and the underlying mechanisms operate more strongly in large MPA networks embracing a wide range of habitats and environmental conditions. |