Fig. 2: Changes in the ecological suitability of West Nile virus (WNV) in Europe. | Nature Communications

Fig. 2: Changes in the ecological suitability of West Nile virus (WNV) in Europe.

From: Contribution of climate change to the spatial expansion of West Nile virus in Europe

Fig. 2

Past and present ecological suitability estimated for each administrative unit are based on both the reconstructions of the historical climate (a) and a counterfactual baseline (b). Ecological suitability values are averaged over the estimates of ten independent BRT models trained on present-day data retrieved from the ISIMIP3a reanalysis dataset GSWP3-W5E5. See Figs. S4–S6 for the estimates of three other ISIMIP3a reanalysis datasets (20CRv3, 20CRv3-ERA5, and 20CRv3-W5E5).

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