Fig. 1: Time-series for the historical period plus the SSP245 scenario, of annual global mean anomalies relative to the 1850–1899 mean. | Nature Communications

Fig. 1: Time-series for the historical period plus the SSP245 scenario, of annual global mean anomalies relative to the 1850–1899 mean.

From: Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming

Fig. 1

(a) temperature change; (b) cumulative ocean carbon uptake; (c) cumulative land carbon uptake; (d) implied cumulative emissions (diagnosed using Eq. 1). Each coloured line represents a different CMIP6 Earth System Model (ESM) as identified in the key on (a). The thick black line in (a) is the observational estimate from IPCC AR6 WG1 Chapter 231. The thick black lines in (b–d) represent observational estimates from the Global Carbon Project11, with grey bands showing the estimated standard error in these values (see Methods for details).

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