Table 1 Baseline characteristics and comparison between those who died before 24 weeks vs remained alive at 48 weeks

From: Biomarkers of mortality in adults and adolescents with advanced HIV in sub-Saharan Africa

Variable

Overall median (IQR)

Deaths before 24 weeks median (IQR)

Alive at 48 weeks median (IQR)

Hazard ratioa

p-value

Baseline clinical characteristics

Age, years

37 (30–43)

38 (30–44)

36 (30–43)

1.12 (1.02–1.23)

0.01

Sex, female

292 (49%)

88 (52%)

204 (47%)

1.46 (1.00–2.14)

0.05

CD4 count, cells/uL

34 (15–64)

24 (10–46)

38 (16–67)

0.90 (0.84–0.97)

0.003

BMI, kg/m2 [N = 593]

19 (17–21)

18 (16–19)

19 (17–21)

0.86 (0.80–0.93)

<0.001

WHO Stage at enrolment: 3–4

351 (59%)

130 (77%)

221 (51%)

2.69 (1.64–4.39)

<0.001

Enhanced prophylaxis

295 (49%)

69 (41%)

226 (53%)

0.55 (0.37–0.81)

0.002

Plasma HIV RNA, log 10 copies/mL

5.43 (5.04–5.79)

5.55 (5.14–5.96)

5.40 (4.97–5.71)

1.35 (0.93–1.95)

0.11

Centre: Centre A

222 (37%)

39 (23%)

183 (43%)

1

<0.001

Centre B

68 (11%)

26 (15%)

42 (10%)

1.74 (0.95–3.19)

 

Centre C

29 (5%)

13 (8%)

16 (4%)

1.01 (0.45–2.27)

 

Centre D

66 (11%)

26 (15%)

40 (9%)

3.37 (1.87–6.09)

 

Centre E

52 (9%)

21 (12%)

31 (7%)

4.58 (2.29–9.14)

 

Centre F

101 (17%)

21 (12%)

80 (19%)

2.54 (1.32–4.89)

 

Centre G

61 (10%)

23 (14%)

38 (9%)

2.08 (1.08–4.01)

 

Baseline biomarkers (pg/ml unless otherwise stated)

CD163 (ng/ml) [N = 597]

838 (516–1398)

930 (516–1507)

812 (516–1330)

1.01 (0.86–1.18)

0.90

CRP (mg/l) [N = 597]

6 (2–39)

33 (5–130)

4 (1–20)

2.46 (1.92–3.15)

<0.001c

sCD14 (ng/ml) [N = 597]

3609 (2398–5120)

4550 (3498–6247)

3234 (2238–4765)

2.23 (1.64–3.03)

<0.001c

I-FABP [N = 596]

1897 (1112–3339)

1602 (803–3311)

1995 (1196–3340)

0.74 (0.64–0.86)

<0.001c

IFN-γ [N = 588]

182 (98–380)

280 (161–632)

154 (83–296)

3.66 (2.06–6.50)

<0.001c

IL-2 [N = 588]

34 (23–51)

34 (23–51)

34 (23–51)

0.72 (0.32–1.61)

0.42

IL-4 [N = 588]

44 (10–151)

70 (10–190)

35 (10–129)

1.36 (0.98–1.89)

0.07

IL-8 [N = 588]

64 (23–156)

97 (39–233)

54 (18–128)

1.20 (0.86–1.67)

0.28

IL-9 [N = 588]

147 (41–401)

157 (33–413)

145 (43–400)

1.02 (0.74–1.41)

0.91

IL-18 [N = 588]

190 (103–409)

326 (169–673)

160 (90–310)

3.88 (2.20–6.84)

<0.001c

IL-23 [N = 588]

490 (164–1274)

424 (119–1166)

539 (185–1292)

0.85 (0.60–1.19)

0.34

IP-10 [N = 588]

587 (240–1489)

988 (373–2369)

481 (208–1157)

1.25 (0.89–1.76)

0.19

RANTES [N = 588]

304 (201–876)

320 (197–681)

303 (201–982)

0.52 (0.33–0.81)

0.004c

D-dimer (ng/ml) [N = 597]

3937 (2010–6722)

4503 (2223–8299)

3674 (1940–6083)

1.21 (1.00–1.47)

0.05

Eotaxin [N = 588]

64 (37–116)

85 (49–164)

58 (34–103)

1.17 (0.56–2.44)

0.67

GM-CSF [N = 588]

44 (20–98)

50 (21–97)

42 (19–98)

1.16 (0.71–1.90)

0.56

GROA [N = 588]

77 (33–157)

80 (32–158)

76 (33–156)

0.89 (0.67–1.18)

0.40

IFNα [N = 587]

0.5 (0.5–5.4)

0.5 (0.5–4.7)

0.5 (0.5–5.5)

0.74 (0.54–1.01)

0.06

IL-1α [N = 588]

0.71 (0.71–1.08)

0.71 (0.71–2.27)

0.71 (0.71–0.73)

1.22 (0.82–1.81)

0.34

IL-1β [N = 588]

50 (22–94)

50 (24–109)

47 (22–90)

1.12 (0.75–1.67)

0.58

IL1-RA [N = 588]

173 (34–1141)

807 (34–3005)

34 (34–681)

1.64 (1.29–2.09)

<0.001c

IL-5 [N = 588]

60 (34–106)

61 (37–106)

59 (32–106)

0.98 (0.57–1.69)

0.95

IL-6 [N = 588]

91 (47–198)

114 (60–231)

83 (42–183)

1.75 (1.09–2.80)

0.02

IL-7 [N = 588]

2.9 (1.0–7.2)

3.1 (1.3–8.6)

2.6 (1.0–6.5)

0.89 (0.64–1.23)

0.49

IL-10 [N = 588]

12 (3–29)

14 (5–36)

11 (3–26)

1.26 (0.86–1.85)

0.23

IL-12p70 [N = 588]

15 (12–31)

17 (12–33)

14 (12–30)

1.67 (0.85–3.27)

0.14

IL-13 [N = 588]

9 (5–19)

11 (5–22)

8 (5–18)

1.53 (0.83–2.82)

0.17

IL-15 [N = 588]

3 (3–21)

3 (3–25)

3 (3–19)

1.04 (0.76–1.43)

0.80

IL-17A [N = 588]

15 (8–26)

16 (9–28)

15 (8–25)

1.20 (0.70–2.06)

0.52

IL-21 [N = 588]

164 (69–329)

172 (59–390)

162 (70–319)

1.12 (0.76–1.65)

0.55

IL-22 [N = 588]

167 (72–382)

176 (70–419)

166 (72–375)

1.12 (0.73–1.70)

0.60

IL-27 [N = 588]

100 (34–268)

108 (34–272)

95 (34–263)

1.14 (0.77–1.69)

0.51

IL-31 [N = 587]

30 (7–190)

57 (7–282)

27 (7–175)

1.06 (0.83–1.36)

0.64

LBP (mg/l) [N = 597]

35 (22–61)

46 (26–105)

31 (20–50)

1.82 (1.46–2.26)

<0.001c

MCP1 [N = 588]

110 (61–208)

129 (72–224)

102 (57–198)

0.85 (0.58–1.24)

0.40

MIP1α [N = 588]

10 (5–25)

12 (7–32)

9 (4–23)

1.10 (0.76–1.61)

0.61

MIP1β [N = 588]

99 (64–179)

108 (70–219)

91 (60–174)

0.89 (0.62–1.28)

0.52

SDF1A [N = 588]

702 (451–1241)

703 (487–1257)

700 (449–1241)

0.79 (0.52–1.20)

0.27

sST2 [N = 597]

13716 (8397–24731)

27548 (13195–64521)

11654 (7856–17856)

1.63 (1.32–2.01)

<0.001c

TNFα [N = 588]

64 (35–105)

69 (35–112)

62 (35–101)

1.26 (0.68–2.33)

0.46

TNFβ [N = 588]

10 (10–136)

10 (10–239)

10 (10–109)

1.07 (0.81–1.41)

0.64

A1AT (mg/l) [N = 277]b

288 (143–564)

420 (192–751)

259 (136–518)

1.33 (1.01–1.76)

0.05

MPO (ng/ml) [N = 277] b

1811 (770–4771)

2287 (770–7577)

1769 (770–4212)

1.37 (1.09–1.71)

0.01c

NEO (nmol/L) [N = 276] b

285 (82–1247)

318 (86–1481)

283 (81–1192)

0.92 (0.77–1.09)

0.31

  1. The number of participants (N) with data for each biomarker is shown, and differs between biomarkers due to sample availability or technical failures.
  2. aHazard ratios show the association between each factor and mortality from models adjusted for prophylaxis randomisation, viral load, CD4, WHO stage, age and BMI at enrolment, and centre; and were weighted according to inverse probability of selection into the sub-study, following the case-cohort design.
  3. bStool (as opposed to plasma) biomarkers assessed only in centres A and B.
  4. c44 biomarkers tested: naïve Bonferroni significance threshold = 0.05/44 = 0.00114; symbol indicates tests passing an ordered Benjamini–Hochberg (BH) threshold.