Fig. 5: Ex-ante scenario analysis associated with practice change and targeting strategies in Eastern India.
From: Context-dependent agricultural intensification pathways to increase rice production in India
District average yield (t ha−1) and profitability (USD ha−1) gains for fields adopting new practices under Scenario 2 (A, B), Scenario 3 (C, D), and Scenario 4 (E, F). Scenario 2 consists of the analytics-informed blanket approach where all fields applied 180 kg N ha−1, whereas Scenarios 3 and 4 use targeting criteria based on anticipated responsiveness to management changes. Scenario 3 increased the N rate only for fields with negative SHAP values for N, i.e., in I−N− and I+N− clusters. Scenario 4 addresses the co-limitation of N and irrigation for fields in the I−N− cluster, i.e., increasing the N rate to 180 kg N ha−1 and number of irrigations to 5. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.
