Fig. 1: Percentiles of the AR6 scenario database.
From: Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model
The figures present the different percentiles of global (a) forest cover, (b) grazing land, and (c) cropland change in Mha compared to 2015. Each line does not correspond to a specific scenario, but rather represents a different percentile of area change for each year, estimated by pooling all AR6 Scenario Database scenarios together. Highlighted is the 90th percentile for forest area change and its complementary threshold, the 10th percentile for cropland and grazing land change. The probability density plots for 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100 indicative of the spread of the area change distribution are also shown in light gray. The country pledges global estimate presented in the Land-Gap report24, and its 2023 update25 are shown with the green bar.
