Fig. 4: Projected changes in marine heatwave (MHW) mean intensity and annual days in large marine ecosystem (LME) regions.
From: Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model

Future changes (2071‒2100 minus 1993‒2020) in (a) mean MHW annual days and (b) mean MHW intensity among LMEs are defined on the basis of the future threshold under the RCP 8.5, with the number at the top of the x-axis representing the LME region index. The gray text indicates that the future changes in MHWs in this LME are not significant (p ≥ 0.05). Results show an enhanced MHW intensity and annual days over most of the LMEs in the future even with MHWs defined using a future threshold that removes the effect of mean warming.