Table 2 European gas pipeline import constraints in geopolitical scenarios

From: The global implications of a Russian gas pivot to Asia

From

Pipeline

Scenario

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Russia

Nord Stream Ia

Base

55

55

55

55

55

LM

55

0

0

0

0

P2A

55

0

0

0

0

Yamal

Base

33

33

33

33

33

LM

33

0

0

0

0

P2A

33

0

0

0

0

Via Ukraineb

Base

40

40

40

40

40

LM

40

15

0

0

0

P2A

40

15

0

0

0

TurkStream

Base

31.5

31.5

31.5

31.5

31.5

LM

31.5

10

0

0

0

P2A

31.5

15

15

15

15

Africa

Greenstream

All

11

11

11

11

11

Trans-Mediterranean

33.5

33.5

33.5

33.5

33.5

Medgaz

8

8

8

8

8

Maghreb–Europe

12

12

12

12

12

Azerbaijan

Southern Gas Corridorc

All

10

20

20

20

20

  1. aFollowing the explosions that disrupted its operation in 2022, Nord Stream II never comes online
  2. bBrotherhood and Soyuz pipelines
  3. cSouthern Gas Corridor transports gas from Azerbaijan to Europe, connecting with South Caucasus Pipeline (SCPX), Trans Anatolian Pipeline (TANAP), Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP).