Table 2 Summary of mean absolute deviation (MAD) for the ensembles

From: Quantifying both socioeconomic and climate uncertainty in coupled human–Earth systems analysis

 

Reference

ParisForever

All

ClimUnc

EmiUnc

Sum of ClimUnc & EmiUnc

All

ClimUnc

EmiUnc

Sum of ClimUnc & EmiUnc

CO2 Concentrations

38.83

21.84

29.81

51.65

26.46

18.94

16.52

35.47

Total Radiative Forcing

0.39

0.15

0.34

0.49

0.34

0.15

0.29

0.44

Temperature

0.36

0.32

0.14

0.47

0.32

0.29

0.12

0.40

Precipitation

0.030

0.028

0.008

0.036

0.026

0.025

0.006

0.031

  1. MAD for distributions with full uncertainty (both climate and emissions uncertainty) is less than the sum of MAD for ClimUnc and EmiUnc distributions, meaning socioeconomic and climate uncertainties are not simply additive.
Back to article page