Fig. 2: Drivers of urban-rural variation in temperature sensitivity of the start of season (ΔST).
From: Tree species composition governs urban phenological responses to warming
a Variable importance metrics (mean ± se) from random forest models for the effects of urban-rural differences in species composition (beta diversity), species richness (ΔRichness), preseason temperature (ΔTemperature), enhanced vegetation index (ΔEVI), geography (ΔElevation), the city-level averages of mean annual temperature (MAT) and precipitation (MAP), population density and city area on absolute ΔST using the outward delineation method (n = 135). b Recursive partitioning tree for the effects of beta diversity, absolute ΔTemperature and MAT on absolute ΔST. The boxes span from the first to the third quartile, with medians marked by black lines in the middle. The whiskers extend from the 5th to the 95th percentile. Data underlying the figures are available on Zenodo (https://zenodo.org/records/14864842) and in the Source Data file.
