Fig. 3: Warming assessment of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) based on Approach 1.
From: Effect of discontinuous fair-share emissions allocations immediately based on equity
a and 2 (b) allocations of global emissions scenarios limiting global warming to 1.5 °C with no or limited overshoot (C1 category), 1.5°C with high overshoot (OS, C2), likely below 2 °C, below 3 °C or below 4 °C warmings. Colors at the edges of the legend range can reflect values outside the range, either more ambitious than a 1.5 °C allocation or less ambitious than a 4 °C allocation. NDCs should only be considered aligned with the present allocations if earlier emissions also match the discontinuous allocation, which implies immediate support and cooperative approaches.
