Fig. 4: Percent deviation from a linear projection for scenarios in which both the Key Bridge and Port of Baltimore experience closures, illustrating compounding effects.
From: Rethinking infrastructure design from component failure to systemic resilience
Plots present forecasted percent changes annually from 2023 to 2040, with values near zero representing near-linear impacts and values diverging from zero indicating greater compounding effects. This view underscores the increasing or diminishing returns in economic impact when the infrastructure disruptions are combined, highlighting areas where compounded closures amplify or mitigate forecast deviations.
