Table 2 Life expectancy at 30 years and the gained life years under ideal and practical scenarios for lifestyle factor change in men and women

From: A simulation study of the impact of population-wide lifestyle modifications on life expectancy in the Chinese population

 

Men

Women

Life expectancy (95% CI), 30 y

Gained life years (95% CI)

Life expectancy (95% CI), 30 y

Gained life years (95% CI)

Base scenario*

45.46 (44.85-46.27)

--

47.00 (46.23-47.86)

--

Simulated scenario

Smoking

 Ideal scenario

46.13 (45.51–47.00)

0.68 (0.44–0.91)

47.05 (46.30–47.90)

0.05 (0.00–0.09)

 Practical scenario

45.86 (45.27–46.70)

0.40 (0.26–0.54)

--

--

Alcohol intake

 Ideal scenario

45.61 (44.98–46.44)

0.15 (0.08–0.23)

47.01 (46.23–47.87)

0.01 (0.00–0.02)

 Practical scenario

--

--

--

--

Physical activity

 Ideal scenario

46.18 (45.58–46.95)

0.72 (0.62–0.84)

48.47 (47.78–49.23)

1.47 (1.30–1.67)

 Practical scenario

45.99 (45.38–46.77)

0.53 (0.46–0.62)

48.09 (47.38–48.88)

1.09 (0.96–1.25)

Dietary habits

 Ideal scenario

49.08 (47.86–50.09)

3.62 (2.72–4.67)

51.27 (50.50–52.03)

4.26 (3.55–5.08)

 Practical scenario

47.22 (46.31–47.95)

1.76 (1.29–2.33)

49.11 (48.38–49.73)

2.11 (1.70–2.59)

All factors combined

 Ideal scenario

50.29 (49.26–51.18)

4.83 (4.01–5.82)

52.40 (51.77–53.00)

5.39 (4.70–6.18)

 Practical scenario

48.07 (47.28–48.78)

2.61 (2.15–3.17)

50.10 (49.46–50.66)

3.10 (2.67–3.59)

  1. The definitions of ideal and practical scenarios for each lifestyle factor are described in Table 3.
  2. CI indicates confidence interval, -- not applicable.
  3. *The exposure patterns for all lifestyle factors remained unchanged.
  4. All lifestyle factors were set to the ideal or practical scenarios.