Table 5 Effects of the Key Population (KP) programme and additional effects of the AMETHIST intervention
Probabilities sampled with equal likelihood according to sex work programme | ||
|---|---|---|
Per 3 months | KP (assumed since 2010) | AMETHIST* (additional to KP from 2024) |
Engagement with programme | 1%, 3%, 5% 10% | 10% increase compared to KP |
Disengagement from programme | 2%, 5%, 10% | 10% decrease compared to KP |
Greater condom use (condomless partners reduced by two-thirds) | 5%, 10% | No additional effect |
6-monthly testing | 20%, 35%, 50% | No additional effect |
Increase in willingness to take PrEP | 5%, 10% | No additional effect |
Persistent STI reduction | 10%, 20% | No additional effect |
In relation to disadvantages: | ||
Interruption disadvantage reduced by: | 30%, 50%, 70% | Disadvantage reduced further by up to 3-fold compared to KP |
Loss at diagnosis disadvantage reduced by: | 30%, 50%, 70% | Disadvantage reduced further by up to 3-fold compared to KP |
Adherence disadvantage reduced as follows: Original adherence + (1 – original adherence * (sampled probability)): | Sampled probability: 10%, 15%, 25% | Disadvantage reduced further by up to 4-fold compared to KP |
