Fig. 6: The difference between the full and constrained ensembles in June, July, August (JJA). | Nature Communications

Fig. 6: The difference between the full and constrained ensembles in June, July, August (JJA).

From: Temperature variability projections remain uncertain after constraining them to best performing Large Ensembles of individual Climate Models

Fig. 6

a Temperature variability defined as the standard deviation over each region at 1 °C averaged across the full ensemble, b temperature variability at 1 °C averaged across the constrained ensemble, c difference between (a) and (b), d difference in temperature variability between 3 °C and 1° averaged across the full ensemble, e difference in temperature variability between 3 °C and 1° averaged across the constrained ensemble, f difference between (d) and (e), g model agreement on the sign of the change (red = agreement, white = disagreement) in the full ensemble, h model agreement on the sign of the change in the constrained ensemble, i difference between (g) and (h), j model agreement in the magnitude of the change (standard deviation across the full ensemble in the difference in temperature variability between 3 °C and 1 °C), k model agreement on the magnitude of the change in the constrained ensemble, l difference between (j) and (k) (shown as a percentage of the standard deviation (STD) of the full ensemble; j). Note in a and b two colorbars exist one over the ocean (purple) and one over the land (orange).

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