Table 2 The reduction in global surface temperature rise due to contrails in 2050
From: The climate opportunities and risks of contrail avoidance
Absolute reduction in global surface temperature rise (Mean [2.5% CI, 97.5% CI] K) | Of the remaining temperature budget (Mean [2.5% CI, 97.5% CI] %) | |
|---|---|---|
(A) Effectiveness, see also Fig. 3 Defaults: Start Date = 2035; Fuel = Current fuel and avoidance | ||
0% | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
25% | 0.011 [0.004, 0.020] | 2.2 [0.9, 4.0] |
50% | 0.022 [0.009, 0.041] | 4.4 [1.8, 8.1] |
75% | 0.033 [0.014, 0.060] | 6.7 [2.7, 12.0] |
100% | 0.044 [0.019, 0.078] | 8.9 [3.8, 15.5] |
(B) Start Date, see also Fig. 4 Defaults: Effectiveness = 100%; Fuel = Current fuel and avoidance | ||
No action | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
2035 | 0.044 [0.019, 0.078] | 8.9 [3.8, 15.5] |
2040 | 0.036 [0.015, 0.062] | 7.1 [3.1, 12.3] |
2045 | 0.010 [0.004, 0.016] | 1.9 [0.8, 3.2] |
(C) Fuel, see also Fig. 5 Defaults: Start Date = 2035; Effectiveness = 100% | ||
Current fuel, no avoidance | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
Current fuel and avoidance | 0.044 [0.019, 0.078] | 8.9 [3.8, 15.5] |
Modified fuel, no avoidance | 0.014 [0.008, 0.019] | 2.9 [1.5, 3.7] |
Modified fuel and avoidance | 0.045 [0.019, 0.079] | 9.0 [3.8, 15.8] |
