Fig. 3: Probability of emergence of different SARS coronaviruses in the presence of vaccination and co-circulating SARS-CoV-2.

Heatmaps show point estimates of the change in probability of emergence for four SARS coronaviruses in a population with co-circulating SARS-CoV-2 under varying conditions of preventative vaccination, estimated from 100,000 model iterations for each unique combination of virus and vaccine program parameters. Inset white text shows the background probability of emergence for each virus.