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Co-occurring clonal hematopoiesis exhibits strong selection and high leukemia risk
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  • Open access
  • Published: 21 May 2026

Co-occurring clonal hematopoiesis exhibits strong selection and high leukemia risk

  • Kara M. Barnao  ORCID: orcid.org/0009-0006-2308-44641,
  • Aubrey K. Hubbard  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-4052-11101,
  • Irenaeus C. C. Chan  ORCID: orcid.org/0009-0004-3250-96262,
  • Weiyin Zhou  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-0467-30641,3,
  • Yasminka A. Jakubek  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1427-10154,
  • Giulio Genovese  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-3066-55755,
  • Wendy S. W. Wong  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-9850-37971,
  • Rebecca L. Kelly  ORCID: orcid.org/0009-0009-4378-737X1,
  • Corey D. Young  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1841-35271,
  • Derek W. Brown  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-8393-17131,
  • Wen-Yi Huang  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-4440-33681,
  • Neal D. Freedman1,
  • Kristine Jones  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1584-89201,3,
  • Amy Hutchinson1,3,
  • Belynda Hicks  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-8014-48881,3,
  • Duc Tran  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-2918-86012,
  • Donna Arnett6,
  • Kathleen C. Barnes7,
  • Joshua C. Bis  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-3409-11108,
  • Eric Boerwinkle9,
  • Jennifer A. Brody  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-8509-148X8,
  • April P. Carson  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-7970-675610,
  • Daniel I. Chasman  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-3357-086211,12,
  • Michael H. Cho13,
  • Pinkal Desai14,
  • Margaret F. Doyle  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6769-538615,
  • Myriam Fornage  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-0677-81589,16,
  • Xiuqing Guo  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5264-506817,
  • Nancy Heard-Costa  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-9730-030618,
  • Marguerite Ryan Irvin19,
  • Andrew D. Johnson  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6369-517820,
  • Sharon L. R. Kardia21,
  • Charles Kooperberg  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-7986-856022,
  • Daniel Levy20,
  • Joshua P. Lewis  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-4107-606623,
  • Yun Li  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-9275-418924,
  • Ruth J. F. Loos  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-8532-508725,26,
  • Taralynn M. Mack27,
  • Rasika A. Mathias28,
  • Braxton D. Mitchell  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-4920-474423,
  • Kari E. North29,
  • Nathan Pankratz  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-5958-693X30,
  • Patricia A. Peyser  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-9717-845921,
  • Michael H. Preuss  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-5266-846525,
  • Bruce M. Psaty  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-7278-21908,31,32,
  • Laura M. Raffield33,
  • Susan Redline34,
  • Stephen S. Rich  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-3872-779335,
  • Jerome I. Rotter  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-7191-172336,
  • Edwin K. Silverman13,
  • Albert V. Smith  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1942-584537,
  • Jennifer A. Smith  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-3575-546821,38,
  • Adrienne Stilp  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-3910-077639,
  • Yin Cao  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-9835-766240,41,42,
  • Paul Scheet  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5173-749743,
  • Alexander P. Reiner  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-1427-447044,
  • Alexander G. Bick  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-5824-959527,
  • Stephen J. Chanock  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-2324-33931,
  • Paul L. Auer  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1735-804445,
  • Kelly L. Bolton  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6584-33572 &
  • …
  • Mitchell J. Machiela  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6538-97051 

Nature Communications (2026) Cite this article

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Cancer epidemiology
  • Cancer genetics
  • Haematological cancer

Abstract

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs) are two types of clonal hematopoiesis (CH) associated with hematological parameters and malignancy risk. Here we show, in genomic data from 546,090 biobank participants, that co-occurring CH (≥2 CH mutations detected) is present in 1.6% of cancer-free individuals and shows strong evidence for selection (up to 804x enrichment). Co-occurrence is more frequent in those with a prior cancer (3.6%), suggesting treatment-induced selection. Acquisition of CHIP usually precedes mCAs with co-occurrences manifesting stronger phenotypic disruptions in telomere attrition and hematologic parameters than component CH events. Individuals with co-occurring CH have pronounced elevations in risk of myeloid and lymphoid malignancies (HRs>40), particularly when CHIP and mCAs overlap genomically. Our findings indicate CH co-occurrences are selected for in the aging population and identify CH clones with notable implications for future malignancy risk.

Acknowledgements

This research was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health (NIH). The contributions of the NIH authors were made as part of their official duties as NIH federal employees, are in compliance with agency policy requirements, and are considered Works of the United States Government. However, the findings and conclusions presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the NIH or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. This work was also supported in part by the National Institutes of Health (Grants: R01HL146500 and R01HL165061). Acknowledgements for all contributing TOPMed studies are provided as supplementary information.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Rockville, MD, USA

    Kara M. Barnao, Aubrey K. Hubbard, Weiyin Zhou, Wendy S. W. Wong, Rebecca L. Kelly, Corey D. Young, Derek W. Brown, Wen-Yi Huang, Neal D. Freedman, Kristine Jones, Amy Hutchinson, Belynda Hicks, Stephen J. Chanock & Mitchell J. Machiela

  2. Division of Oncology, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA

    Irenaeus C. C. Chan, Duc Tran & Kelly L. Bolton

  3. Cancer Genomics Research Laboratory, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Leidos Biomedical Research Inc., Frederick, MD, USA

    Weiyin Zhou, Kristine Jones, Amy Hutchinson & Belynda Hicks

  4. Department of Internal Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA

    Yasminka A. Jakubek

  5. Program in Medical and Population Genetics, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA

    Giulio Genovese

  6. University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA

    Donna Arnett

  7. Galatea Bio, Inc., Miami, FL, USA

    Kathleen C. Barnes

  8. Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Joshua C. Bis, Jennifer A. Brody & Bruce M. Psaty

  9. Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, Human Genetics Center, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA

    Eric Boerwinkle & Myriam Fornage

  10. Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, USA

    April P. Carson

  11. Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA

    Daniel I. Chasman

  12. Division of Preventative Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA

    Daniel I. Chasman

  13. Channing Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA

    Michael H. Cho & Edwin K. Silverman

  14. Division of Hematology and Oncology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA

    Pinkal Desai

  15. Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, The University of Vermont Lerner College of Medicine, Colchester, VT, USA

    Margaret F. Doyle

  16. Institute of Molecular Medicine, McGovern Medical School, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA

    Myriam Fornage

  17. Department of Medicine, The Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, USA

    Xiuqing Guo

  18. Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA

    Nancy Heard-Costa

  19. Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA

    Marguerite Ryan Irvin

  20. Population Sciences Branch, Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA

    Andrew D. Johnson & Daniel Levy

  21. Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA

    Sharon L. R. Kardia, Patricia A. Peyser & Jennifer A. Smith

  22. Division of Public Health Science, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA

    Charles Kooperberg

  23. Department of Medicine, University of Maryland Baltimore, Baltimore, MD, USA

    Joshua P. Lewis & Braxton D. Mitchell

  24. Department of Genetics, Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA

    Yun Li

  25. The Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

    Ruth J. F. Loos & Michael H. Preuss

  26. Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Ruth J. F. Loos

  27. Division of Genetic Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA

    Taralynn M. Mack & Alexander G. Bick

  28. Laboratory of Allergic Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA

    Rasika A. Mathias

  29. Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA

    Kari E. North

  30. Depart of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA

    Nathan Pankratz

  31. Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Bruce M. Psaty

  32. Department of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Bruce M. Psaty

  33. Department of Genetics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA

    Laura M. Raffield

  34. Division of Sleep Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA

    Susan Redline

  35. Department of Genome Sciences, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA

    Stephen S. Rich

  36. The Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, USA

    Jerome I. Rotter

  37. Department of Biostatistics and Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA

    Albert V. Smith

  38. Survey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA

    Jennifer A. Smith

  39. Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Adrienne Stilp

  40. Division of Public Health Sciences, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA

    Yin Cao

  41. Alvin J. Siteman Cancer Center, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA

    Yin Cao

  42. Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA

    Yin Cao

  43. Department of Epidemiology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA

    Paul Scheet

  44. Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

    Alexander P. Reiner

  45. Division of Biostatistics, Data Science Institute, and Cancer Center, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA

    Paul L. Auer

Authors
  1. Kara M. Barnao
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  61. Mitchell J. Machiela
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Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Kara M. Barnao or Mitchell J. Machiela.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare the following competing interests: S.R. has consulted for Amgen, Inc. E.K.S. received institutional grant support from Bayer and Northpond Laboratories over the past 3 years. Y.C. provided consultancy services to Need and Bayer for work outside the scope of the manuscript. M.H.C. has received grant support from Bayer and Genentech, and consulting fees from Apogee Therapeutics and BMS, unrelated to the current work. L.M.R. is a consultant for the TOPMed Administrative Coordinating Center (through Westat). S.S.R. is a consultant for Westat, the Administrative Coordinating Center for the NHLBI TOPMed program. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.

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Barnao, K.M., Hubbard, A.K., Chan, I.C.C. et al. Co-occurring clonal hematopoiesis exhibits strong selection and high leukemia risk. Nat Commun (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73302-x

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  • Received: 30 January 2026

  • Accepted: 05 May 2026

  • Published: 21 May 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73302-x

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