Abstract
Several of the icy satellites in the outer Solar System have or had an ocean underneath their ice-covered surfaces. As the ice shell changes thickness, the volume change that accompanies the phase transition between liquid water and solid ice creates stresses in the ice shell and changes the pressure in the underlying ocean. A thinning ice shell develops compressive stresses within the cold, elastic ice near the surface, and the pressure in the ocean decreases. Here we show that ice-shell thinning can lead to two possible outcomes, depending on the size of the icy body. For the smallest icy bodies, such as Mimas, Enceladus and Miranda, the pressure may become low enough that water reaches the boiling temperature, generating buoyant water vapour and exsolved gases. Boiling conditions are reached while the compressive stresses are lower than the compressive strength of ice, which explains why an emerging (growing) ocean is compatible with a lack of compressive tectonic features on these worlds. For bodies larger than ~300 km radius, such as Titania and Iapetus, thinning of the ice shell by ~10% would lead to compressive failure, thus providing a driving mechanism for compressional tectonic features. Although the signature of ancient ocean development may be overprinted by later cratering, a lack of compressional features on larger worlds may rule out recent oceans.
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Data availability
All data necessary to reproduce the results in the paper are available via Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17317041 (ref. 70). The planetary photomosaics shown in Fig. 1 can be found in the NASA Planetary Data System.
Code availability
The PISTES code is available via GitHub at http://github.com/maxrudolph/PISTES. All computer codes necessary to reproduce the results are available via Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17317041 (ref. 70).
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Acknowledgements
This work is supported through the NASA Solar System Workings programme (Grant No. 80NSSC22K1379 to M.M. and M.L.R.). A.R.R. and M.W. are supported by NASA (Grant No. PSIE 80NSSC24K0399). M.L.R. thanks the Meierjurgen family for support. M.M. thanks the Canadian Institute for Advanced Research Earth4D for further support. We thank C. Paty for helpful discussions.
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All authors contributed to the paper. M.L.R. and M.M. designed the project. M.L.R. performed the calculations. M.L.R., M.M. and A.R.R. wrote the original draft. M.L.R., M.M., A.R.R. and M.W. discussed the results and provided comments on the paper.
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Rudolph, M.L., Manga, M., Rhoden, A.R. et al. Boiling oceans and compressional tectonics on emerging ocean worlds. Nat Astron 10, 76–83 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-025-02713-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-025-02713-5


