Fig. 4: Avoidable EBA and ESL growth under higher-emission scenarios relative to SSP2-4.5. | Nature Climate Change

Fig. 4: Avoidable EBA and ESL growth under higher-emission scenarios relative to SSP2-4.5.

From: Wildfire risk for species under climate change

Fig. 4: Avoidable EBA and ESL growth under higher-emission scenarios relative to SSP2-4.5.

a–d, Spatial distribution of avoidable increases in exposure under SSP3-7.0 (a,c) and SSP5-8.5 (b,d), each relative to the moderate-emission baseline SSP2-4.5. a and b show projected differences in EBA, and c and d show differences in ESL by the end of the twenty-first century (2081–2100). e, Regional summaries of the avoidable ESL growth shown in a and b. f, Regional summaries of the avoidable EBA growth shown in a and b. Exposure differences reflect the benefits of pursuing a lower-emission pathway for biodiversity conservation across regions and threat categories. This figure is based on the dataset of 9,592 fire-threatened species. NA, North America; SA, South America; EU, Europe; AF, Africa; AS, Asia; OC, Oceania.

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