Extended Data Fig. 1: Stocktake of sectoral emission and mitigation potentials.
From: From least-cost to SDG-optimal sectoral allocation of Paris Agreement-compatible mitigation efforts
Sectoral emission stocktake for 2010, 2030 and 2050 for NPi baselines, 2 °C and 1.5 °C scenarios from IPCC AR6 (n values reflect number of models reporting, taking mean of all relevant scenarios from the same model; ranges refer to interquartile ranges), observed values in 2010 and 2020 (taken as average between 2019 and 2021 emissions to avoid Covid-19 distortions; no historical value for AFOLU due to uncertainty), and applied “minimal benchmark” in this study. The 2050 point in the minimal benchmark is calculated as the lower 10% point in the total emissions range in 1.5 °C compatible scenarios for each sector, while the 2030 value in this benchmark is calculated adapting the path to the 2050 level departing from observed 2020 emissions.
