Extended Data Fig. 6: Drivers of fragmentation sensitivity with natural disturbances.
From: Climate-driven variation in dispersal ability predicts responses to forest fragmentation in birds
Results of Bayesian phylogenetic mixed effect models predicting fragmentation sensitivity for 1564 bird populations (n = 1034 species). Populations were classified as fragmentation sensitive if they were identified as ‘Forest-core’ by BIOFRAG. Restricted analysis assigned fragmentation sensitivity only to ‘Forest specialists’ (a); Expanded analysis assigned fragmentation sensitivity to both ‘Forest specialist’ and ‘Forest associated’ species (b; see Methods). Bayesian posterior distribution is shown above the line; effect size estimates with credible intervals (CI) below the line (68%: thick errorbars; 95%: thin errorbars). High effect sizes indicate a positive association with fragmentation sensitivity; low effect sizes indicate a negative association. Finch and hawk silhouettes indicate that both models were run on a complete sample. Historical disturbance is a binary variable (1/0) calculated using natural disturbance (for example fires, storms & glaciation) layers only.
