Fig. 4: Model outputs generated from 100 simulations using random draws from parameter sets from posterior distributions.
From: Silent reservoir species are shaping the emergence of Usutu virus
a, The infection prevalence during the transmission season in dead blackbirds split by age group. b, The infection prevalence during the transmission season in live blackbirds split by age group. c, R0 and Re during the transmission season. d, The partial effective reproduction numbers per transmission route averaged over the transmission season. Results are shown per transmission season from April to October while averaging across all locations. In a–c, solid lines indicate mean values and shaded areas show 95% prediction intervals.
