Extended Data Fig. 1: Evaluation of the mHM model (forced with E-OBS).
From: Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought
a-d, Simulated (mHM) against observed (GRACE) regionally averaged total water storage anomaly (TWS) during 2002-2022 for IPCC regions, that is (a) Northern Europe, (b) Central Europe, and (c) Southern Europe/the Mediterranean (these three regions are displayed in panel h), and (d) Europe (box in Fig. 1a). Orange small and purple large dots show monthly and June–August (JJA) average values, respectively (the circled large purple dot indicates the year 2022). e, Grid-point correlation between simulated and observed monthly average values of total water storage anomaly. f, The same as (e), but for JJA average values. g-h, The ranking of the (g) observed and (h) simulated average values of total water storage during JJA 2022 relative to JJA values of 2002-2022.
