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Effective realization of abatement measures can reduce HFC-23 emissions

Abstract

HFC-23 is a potent greenhouse gas, predominantly emitted as an undesired by-product during the synthesis and processing of HCFC-22 (ref. 1). Previously, the Clean Development Mechanism and national efforts called for the implementation of abatement technology for reducing HFC-23 emissions2,3. Nevertheless, between 2015 and 2019, a divergence was found between the global emissions derived from atmospheric observations and those expected from reported abatement1,2. Primarily, this points to insufficient implementation of abatement strategies2,4, calling for independent verification of the emissions at the individual chemical facility level. Here we use regional atmospheric observations and a new, deliberately released tracer to quantify the HFC-23 emissions from an HCFC-22 and fluoropolymer production facility, which is equipped with waste gas destruction technology. We find that our inferred HFC-23/HCFC-22 emission factor of 0.19% (0.13–0.24%) broadly fits within the emission factor considered practicable for abatement projects5,6. Extrapolation to global HCFC-22 production underscores that the operation of appropriate destruction technology has the potential to reduce global HFC-23 emissions by at least 84% (69–100%) (14 (12–16) Gg yr−1). This reduction is equivalent to 17% CO2 emissions from aviation in 2019 (ref. 7). We also demonstrate co-destruction of PFC-318, another by-product and greenhouse gas. Our findings show the importance of the 2016 Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol, which obligates parties to destroy HFC-23 emissions from facilities manufacturing hydrochlorofluorocarbons and hydrofluorocarbons “to the extent practicable” from 2020 onwards8.

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Fig. 1: Atmospheric abundances of industrially emitted waste gases and the tracer HFC-161, recorded at the Cabauw tall tower station, the Netherlands, and tracer ratio interspecies correlation for HFC-23 and PFC-318.
Fig. 2: Global HFC-23 and PFC-318 emissions based on an abatement scenario.

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Data availability

Atmospheric measurement data acquired at the Cabauw station for all substances subject to this paper as well as tracer emission rates are available from the Zenodo data repository (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11208167). HCFC-22 inventory data are available from the Ozone Secretariat (https://ozone.unep.org/). Dutch National Inventory Reports to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change are available from https://unfccc.int/ghg-inventories-annex-i-parties/2023.

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Acknowledgements

Support for the measurement campaign at the Cabauw tall tower and for the tracer experiment was provided by staff from Empa, TNO and the University of Bristol. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) hosted the measurement campaign at the Cabauw tall tower and provided meteorological observations. The industrial production company at Dordrecht approved and facilitated the tracer experiment on their premises and provided background information on internal production processes. The Dienst Centraal Milieubeheer Rijnmond (DCMR) permitted the release of the tracer. The UK Met Office provided daily plume forecasts. The Swiss Federal Institute of Metrology (METAS) supported the MFC calibrations for HFC-161. The research of Empa was funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) (grant no. 200020_175921). Funding for TNO was provided by the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy for the maintenance of greenhouse gas measurement systems at the Cabauw tower in 2022.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

D.R., M.K.V., A.F. and P.v.d.B. made the measurements. A.F., P.v.d.B. and A.H. provided campaign support. D.R., S.H., M.K.V. and S.R. processed the data. M.K.V., D.R., S.R., S.H., A.F., A.H. and K.M.S. designed the experiment. R.Z. and L.E. provided guidance on the paper structure and review. D.R., M.K.V., S.H. and S.R. wrote the paper with contributions from all the co-authors.

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Correspondence to Martin K. Vollmer.

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Nature thanks Nick Campbell, Deborah Ottinger and Guus Velders for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available.

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Extended data figures and tables

Extended Data Fig. 1 Tracer ratio interspecies correlation.

Scatterplot between the dry-air mole fractions of the target substances (y-axis) and the dry-air mole fractions per yearly emissions of the tracer HFC-161 (see equation 2) (x-axis). The annual target substance emissions are determined as the slopes (m) of the linear regressions using weighted total least squares. The intercepts (k) represent the background mole fractions of the target substances. N is the total number of measurements included in the calculation, R2 is the coefficient of determination for the linear regression. The correlations are highly significant (p < 0.01). Uncertainties are given at 95 % confidence level. Uncertainties are sometimes smaller than the symbol size. For better visualization some of the largest mole fractions are omitted from the plots.

Extended Data Fig. 2 Dutch national HFC-23 and PFC-318 emissions.

Experimentally inferred HFC-23 and PFC-318 emissions (red diamonds) from an HCFC-22 and fluoropolymer production facility at Dordrecht. Uncertainties are given at 95 % confidence level. The Dutch national bottom-up inventory of HFC-23 and aggregate PFC emissions (black lines) as annually reported to the UNFCCC is shown for comparison. HFC-23 emissions of the Benelux (BLX; Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg) countries for 2008–2010, derived top-down by Keller et al.43, are shown in purple and turquoise.

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Rust, D., Vollmer, M.K., Henne, S. et al. Effective realization of abatement measures can reduce HFC-23 emissions. Nature 633, 96–100 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07833-y

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