Table 2 Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses for subsequent breast cancer in female 5-year childhood cancer survivors (primary cancer diagnosis year 1946–2012)

From: Subsequent female breast cancer risk associated with anthracycline chemotherapy for childhood cancer

Characteristic

Total (n)

%

No. of SBC (n)c

%

Model Ia

Model IIb

HR

95% CI

HR

95% CI

Cumulative doxorubicin dose (mg m²)

0

11,170

62.4

431

55.1

1.0

Ref.

<100

912

5.1

16

2.0

1.76

0.88–3.51

100–199

1,795

10.0

69

8.8

1.77

1.30–2.42

200–299

1,026

5.7

67

8.6

2.50

1.85–3.40

300–399

1,012

5.7

64

8.2

2.33

1.68–3.23

≥400

779

4.4

58

7.4

2.78

1.99–3.88

Unknown

1,209

6.8

77

9.8

Continuous variable: cumulative doxorubicin dose (per 100 mg m²)

1.24

1.18–1.31

Cumulative daunorubicin dose (mg m²)

0

14,630

81.7

684

87.5

1.0

Ref.

<100

623

3.5

7

0.9

0.98

0.46–2.09

100–199

953

5.3

16

2.0

0.98

0.55–1.75

≥200

645

3.6

17

2.2

1.22

0.69–2.17

Unknown

1,052

5.9

58

7.4

Continuous variable: cumulative daunorubicin dose (per 100 mg m²)

1.10

0.95–1.29

Epirubicin

No

16,637

92.9

717

91.7

1.0

Ref.

1.0

Ref.

Yes

325

1.8

9

1.2

3.40

1.66–6.98

3.25

1.59–6.63

Unknown

941

5.3

56

7.2

Chest radiotherapy field and dose

No chest radiotherapy

13,004

72.6

250

32.0

1.0

Ref.

1.0

Ref.

High-dose mantle (≥36 Gy; median: 40 Gy, IQR: 39–44 Gy)

698

3.9

238

30.4

8.99

7.00–11.53

9.12

7.09–11.75

Low-dose mantle (<36 Gy; median: 26 Gy, IQR: 21–30 Gy)

524

2.9

93

11.9

4.72

3.48–6.41

5.23

3.86–7.09

Mediastinal (median: 26 Gy, IQR: 21–36 Gy)

469

2.6

33

4.2

1.65

1.02–2.67

1.71

1.06–2.78

TBI (median: 12 Gy, IQR: 11–13 Gy)

371

2.1

22

2.8

7.05

4.11–12.10

7.18

4.18–12.33

Whole lung (median: 16 Gy, IQR: 12–23 Gy)

184

1.0

23

2.9

7.58

4.68–12.27

8.00

4.94–12.95

Other (median: 28 Gy, IQR: 21–36 Gy)

1,316

7.4

63

8.1

2.61

1.87–3.64

2.68

1.91–3.75

Unknown

1,337

7.5

60

7.7

Pelvic radiotherapy ≥5 Gy

No

13,751

76.8

505

64.6

1.0

Ref.

1.0

Ref.

Yes

2,911

16.3

222

28.4

0.95

0.78–1.17

0.94

0.77–1.16

Unknown

1,241

6.9

55

7.0

Age at primary childhood cancer diagnosis (year)

<5

7,376

41.2

66

8.4

1.0

Ref.

1.0

Ref.

5–9

3,788

21.2

65

8.3

1.13

0.76–1.69

1.12

0.75–1.67

10–14

3,930

22.0

273

34.9

2.03

1.48–2.79

2.04

1.49–2.81

15–21

2,809

15.7

378

48.3

1.83

1.31–2.55

1.84

1.32–2.57

CEDd (mg m−2)

None

7,951

44.4

301

38.5

1.0

Ref.

1.0

Ref.

<6,000

3,069

17.1

94

12.0

0.87

0.67–1.14

0.95

0.73–1.25

6,000–17,999

3,899

21.8

192

24.6

1.02

0.82–1.27

1.07

0.86–1.32

≥18,000

1,117

6.2

47

6.0

1.20

0.83–1.74

1.23

0.85–1.77

Unknown

1,867

10.4

148

18.9

  1. aModel I included categorical variables of cumulative doxorubicin and daunorubicin dose by steps of 100 mg m−2.
  2. bModel II included continuous variables of cumulative doxorubicin and daunorubicin dose per 100 mg m−2.
  3. cOne survivor had SBC before 5 years after primary cancer.
  4. dCED calculation: CED (mg m2) = 1.0 (cumulative cyclophosphamide dose (mg m2)) + 0.244 (cumulative ifosfamide dose (mg m2)) + 0.857 (cumulative procarbazine dose (mg m2)) + 14.286 (cumulative chlorambucil dose (mg m2)) + 15.0 (cumulative BCNU (carmustine) dose (mg m2)) + 16.0 (cumulative CCNU (lomustine) dose (mg m2)) + 40 (cumulative melphalan dose (mg m2)) + 50 (cumulative Thio-TEPA (thiotepa) dose (mg m2)) + 100 (cumulative nitrogen mustard dose (mg m2)) + 8.823 (cumulative busulfan dose (mg m2)).