Fig. 1: Magnitude of children experiencing orphanhood in the United States.
From: Orphanhood and caregiver death among children in the United States by all-cause mortality, 2000–2021

a, Estimated number of US children newly experiencing orphanhood by any cause and over time. b, Estimated number of US children experiencing orphanhood in their lifetime by any cause and over time. c, Incidence rates of orphanhood among US children. d, Prevalence rates of orphanhood among US children, calculated by aggregating incidence estimates among children over the previous 17 years and accounting for the aging of children. e, Main contributors to orphanhood incidence versus to adult deaths in 2021. Throughout, median estimates are shown (points, bars and values shown in text), and uncertainty ranges are detailed in Supplementary Table 17, except for e in which 95% UIs are also shown as error bars. Incidence estimates are based on at least n = 2,357,714 mortality records and n = 3,610,887 natality records per year. Cause-specific incidence estimates are based on at least n = 14,854 mortality records per year.