Table 2 Summary of models performances according to intercept and slope coefficients.
Model | Target | Population | Aggregation | \(\overline{MAPE}\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Multi-modal Ensemble | Intercept | I | N/A | 0.076 |
LSTM (raw) | Intercept | G | N/A | 0.077 |
Ridge | Intercept | G | Exponential | 0.080 |
Ridge | Intercept | G | Mean | 0.080 |
Uni-modal Ensemble | Intercept | I | N/A | 0.080 |
LSTM | Intercept | G | Exponential | 0.084 |
LSTM | Intercept | G | Mean | 0.084 |
Ridge | Intercept | I | Mean | 0.085 |
Ridge | Intercept | I | Exponential | 0.085 |
LSTM (raw) | Intercept | I | N/A | 0.088 |
LSTM | Intercept | I | Mean | 0.089 |
LSTM | Intercept | I | Exponential | 0.090 |
LSTM | Slope | G | Mean | 0.114 |
LSTM | Slope | G | Exponential | 0.114 |
Uni-modal Ensemble | Slope | I | N/A | 0.115 |
Multi-modal Ensemble | Slope | I | N/A | 0.116 |
RIDGE | Slope | G | Mean | 0.116 |
RIDGE | Slope | G | Exponential | 0.116 |
LSTM (raw) | Slope | G | N/A | 0.119 |
LSTM (raw) | Slope | I | N/A | 0.121 |
LSTM | Slope | I | Mean | 0.126 |
RIDGE | Slope | I | Mean | 0.128 |
LSTM | Slope | I | Exponential | 0.128 |
RIDGE | Slope | I | Exponential | 0.129 |