Table 9 Comparative performance metrics of forecasting models for potato prices using different sets of exogenous variables. Significant values are in bold.

From: Exogenous variable driven deep learning models for improved price forecasting of TOP crops in India

Potato

Exogenous variables

Models

RMSE

MAE

sMAPE

MASE

QL

Precipitation

ARIMAX

51.966

37.547

27.659

1.643

18.773

MLR

60.304

46.466

35.965

2.034

23.233

ANN

103.033

93.925

98.703

4.111

46.962

SVR

76.673

64.588

56.222

2.827

32.294

RFR

69.889

53.932

42.785

2.360

26.966

XGBoost

62.827

48.735

38.267

2.133

24.367

NBEATSX

34.099

21.342

18.897

0.953

10.671

TransformerX

34.418

26.773

19.677

1.221

13.386

Temperature

ARIMAX

52.443

37.613

27.731

1.646

18.806

MLR

60.581

46.396

35.994

2.031

23.198

ANN

85.837

74.141

69.321

3.245

37.070

SVR

76.950

64.758

56.542

2.834

32.379

RFR

78.509

62.524

52.118

2.737

31.262

XGBoost

63.836

50.071

40.160

2.191

25.035

NBEATSX

33.704

20.761

18.427

0.927

10.380

TransformerX

36.329

27.775

20.149

1.267

13.887

Precipitation and Temperature

ARIMAX

52.349

37.525

27.655

1.642

18.762

MLR

60.575

46.392

35.990

2.030

23.196

ANN

92.433

77.795

76.698

3.405

38.897

SVR

77.660

65.026

56.952

2.846

32.513

RFR

76.957

61.586

51.590

2.695

30.793

XGBoost

63.124

50.278

40.318

2.200

25.139

NBEATSX

34.290

20.737

18.357

0.926

10.368

  1. Bold indicates the minimum error.