Table 3 Indicator variables sensitivity analysis summary.
RMSE (hospitalizations) | MAE (hospitalizations) | Coverage | RMSE improvement | MAE improvement | Coverage improvement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base | 60.38 | 46.7 | 0.37 | |||
Flu season binary indicator | 61.6 | 47.32 | 0.32 | − 2% | − 1% | − 14% |
DOT travel indicator | 59.74 | 42.61 | 0.47 | 1% | 9% | 27% |
Neighboring states | 53.46 | 37.42 | 0.42 | 11% | 20% | 14% |
DOT + neighboring states | 51.07 | 32.4 | 0.52 | 15% | 31% | 41% |
Flu + DOT | 60.22 | 43.19 | 0.45 | 0% | 8% | 22% |
Flu + neighboring states | 53.38 | 37.92 | 0.4 | 12% | 19% | 8% |
ALL | 53.32 | 35.94 | 0.45 | 12% | 23% | 22% |
