Table 9 In-sample Prediction RMSFE Based on Monthly Real Estate Development Investment Completion Amount Modeling.
Forecast Periods | Estimation Method | Beta | BetaNN | ExpAlmon | UMIDAS | StepF | Almon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Fixed- Window | 0.0451 | 0.0403 | 0.0451 | 0.0043* | 0.0146 | 0.0497 |
Rolling- Window | 0.0432 | 0.0370 | 0.0432 | 0.0061 | 0.0157 | 0.0469 | |
Recursive | 0.0432 | 0.0375 | 0.0432 | 0.0047 | 0.0156 | 0.0461 | |
2 | Fixed- Window | 0.1169 | 0.0363 | 0.1184 | 0.0231 | 0.0129* | 0.0453 |
Rolling- Window | 0.1122 | 0.0344 | 0.1127 | 0.0207 | 0.0139 | 0.0418 | |
Recursive | 0.1136 | 0.0341 | 0.1150 | 0.0212 | 0.0137 | 0.0415 | |
3 | Fixed- Window | 0.1169 | 0.0562 | 0.1169 | 0.0244 | 0.0097 | 0.0024* |
Rolling- Window | 0.1102 | 0.0541 | 0.1102 | 0.0217 | 0.0100 | 0.0026 | |
Recursive | 0.1136 | 0.0535 | 0.1136 | 0.0225 | 0.0101 | 0.0026 |