Table 2 Description, baseline value, and dimension of model parameters, with assumptions explained in Sect. ”Effects of Pairing on the Reproduction Numbers. Ranges used in the sensitivity analysis testing of the parameters in Sect. ”Sensitivity Analysis”.
Parameter | Description | Value/Dimension | Range | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
\(\Lambda\) | Recruitment rate into population | \(\mu P\) individuals x \(d^{-1}\) | - | - |
P | Initial population size | 412, 000 individuals | - | |
\(\mu\) | Removal rate from population | 1/18250 \(d^{-1}\) | - | |
\(d_m\) | Death rate for mpox | 1/17520 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/18250, 0.0001] | Assumed |
\(d_h\) | Death rate for HIV | 1/4745 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/5475, 1/1825] | |
\(d_c\) | Death rate for co-infection | 1/4015 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/4745, 0.0005] | Assumed |
\(\tau _m\) | Mpox transmission probability | 0.785 | [0.1, 0.8] | |
\(\tau _h\) | HIV transmission probability | 0.0021 | [0.0006, 0.0338] | |
\(\phi\) | Increased susceptibility to mpox due to HIV | 1 | [1, 1.2] | Assumed |
\(\delta _m\) | Recovery rate of mpox | 1/27 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/28, 1/14] | |
\(\delta _c\) | Recovery rate of co-infection | 1/32 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/50, 1/21] | Assumed |
\(\psi\) | Rate of sexual contact within a pairing | 1/3 \(d^{-1}\) | [1/4, 1] | |
\(\rho\) | Rate of pair formation | \(d^{-1}\) | [1/1095, 1/3] | - |
\(\sigma\) | Rate of pair dissolution | \(d^{-1}\) | [1/1095, 1/3] | - |
