Table 2 List of parameters and their values in the model.

From: Assessing the effect of social contact structure on the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

Parameter

Interpretation

Value

Range tested

Source

\(\:{\beta\:}_{V}^{\left(i\right)}(={\beta\:}_{N}^{\left(i\right)})\)

Age-specific susceptibility to carriage acquisition

\(\:{\beta\:}^{(0,....,4)}=0.015\)

\(\:{\beta\:}^{(5,...,19)}=\:0.004\)

\(\:{\beta\:}^{(20,...,59)}=\:0.003\)

\(\:{\beta\:}^{(60,...,84)}=\:0.005\)

\(\:\pm\:20\text{\%}\) for high and low population susceptibility, respectively

61

\(\:{1/\gamma\:}_{i}\)

Age-specific average duration of carriage

See Supplementary Figure 1

/

Fitted to observed data

(Supplementary Data 1)

\(\:{\delta\:}_{i}\)

Aging rate

\(\:{1yr}^{-1}\)

/

Each age group is 1 year

\(\:{k}_{N}(={k}_{V})\)

Competition parameter: Effect of existing VT (NVT) carriage on acquiring NVT (VT) carriage

\(\:0.5\)

\(\:0.1,\:0.25,\:0.75\)

18[,46[,47

\(\:c\)

Fraction of co-carriers returning to \(\:{C}_{V}\) (\(\:{C}_{N}\)) upon reinfection with VT (NVT)

\(\:0.5\)

/

17

\(\:q\)

Relative infectiousness with each serotype for co-carriers

\(\:0.5\)

/

50

\(\:VE\)

Vaccine efficacy against carriage acquisition

\(\:60\%\)

\(\:33\%,\:77\%\)

51

\(\:{p}_{V}\)

Vaccine coverage

\(\:90\%\)

\(\:50\%\)

52[,53

\(\:{\alpha\:}\!_{V}\)

Waning rate of vaccine-conferred immunity

\(\:0\) per year

\(\:0.1,\:0.2,\:0.3\) per year

53[,54

\(\:{f}_{C}^{\left(i\right)}\left(0\right)\)

Initial prevalence of carriers in age group \(\:i\)

\(\:{f}_{C}^{\left(0,...,4\right)}\left(0\right)=0.5\)

\(\:{f}_{C}^{\left(5,...,19\right)}\left(0\right)=0.2\)

\(\:{f}_{C}^{\left(20,\dots\:,59\right)}\left(0\right)=0.1\)

\(\:{f}_{C}^{\left(60,...,84\right)}\left(0\right)=0.1\)

(i) Lower carriage prevalence in age 0,

(ii) Higher carriage prevalence in all ages

See Supplementary Figure 4

26,

observed data (Supplementary Data 2)

\(\:{f}_{V}\left(0\right),\:{f}_{N}\left(0\right)\)

Initial proportions of

VT-, NVT-carriers

\(\:{f}_{V}\left(0\right):\:0.6\)\(\:{f}_{N}\left(0\right):\:0.4\)

\(\:{f}_{V}\left(0\right):\:0.2-0.8\), \(\:{f}_{N}\left(0\right):\:0.2\)

Observed data (Table 1,

Supplementary Data 3)