Table 3 Numbers and ASRs per 100,000 cases of deaths of esophageal cancer in 1990 and 2019, along with the ralative changes and AAPC in ASRs per 100,000 cases from 1990–2019, categorized by global, SID and GBD regions.
Characteristic | Number in 1990 (95% CI) | Age-standardized Rate in 1990 (95% CI) | Number in 2019 (95% CI) | Age-standardized Rate in 2019 (95% CI) | Relative change of numbers from 1990 to 2019(%) | Relative change of age-standardized rate from 1990 to 2019(%) | AAPC (Age-standardized rate, 95% CI) | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global | 319,332 (248,666 to 350,802) | 8.2 (6.4 to 9) | 498,067 (438,411 to 551,462) | 6.1 (5.4 to 6.8) | 55.97 | -25.32 | -1.02 (-1.11 to -0.92) | < 0.001 |
High SDI | 47,439 (45,967 to 48,389) | 4.6 (4.4 to 4.7) | 79,088 (73,600 to 83,089) | 4.2 (3.9 to 4.4) | 66.72 | -8.85 | -0.32 (-0.41 to -0.23) | < 0.001 |
High-middle SDI | 88,112 (73,501 to 96,912) | 8.3 (7 to 9.1) | 135,757 (108,339 to 156,606) | 6.6 (5.3 to 7.6) | 54.07 | -20.64 | -0.83 (-1.02 to -0.63) | < 0.001 |
Middle SDI | 138,218 (80,643 to 159,517) | 14.1 (8.4 to 16.2) | 193,720 (157,830 to 223,774) | 8.1 (6.5 to 9.4) | 40.16 | -42.34 | -1.92 (-2.06 to -1.77) | < 0.001 |
Low-middle SDI | 30,842 (27,388 to 39,603) | 5.3 (4.7 to 6.9) | 60,670 (53,987 to 85,565) | 4.5 (4 to 6.4) | 96.71 | -15.2 | -0.57 (-0.72 to -0.42) | < 0.001 |
Low SDI | 14,642 (12,029 to 16,772) | 6.4 (5.2 to 7.3) | 28,684 (23,834 to 34,252) | 5.7 (4.8 to 6.8) | 95.9 | -10.86 | -0.4 (-0.46 to -0.33) | < 0.001 |
Andean Latin America | 412 (347 to 464) | 2.1 (1.8 to 2.4) | 889 (723 to 1,090) | 1.6 (1.3 to 2) | 115.74 | -23.69 | -0.91 (-1.38 to -0.43) | < 0.001 |
Australasia | 1,016 (970 to 1,054) | 4.3 (4.1 to 4.5) | 2,035 (1,830 to 2,218) | 4 (3.6 to 4.4) | 100.33 | -7.24 | -0.26 (-0.49 to -0.03) | 0.03 |
Caribbean | 1,022 (955 to 1,106) | 4 (3.8 to 4.4) | 1,923 (1,649 to 2,197) | 3.7 (3.2 to 4.2) | 88.17 | -8.15 | -0.19 (-0.26 to -0.11) | < 0.001 |
Central Asia | 6,622 (6,392 to 6,871) | 14.5 (14 to 15.1) | 4,924 (4,359 to 5,769) | 7.1 (6.3 to 8.2) | -25.63 | -51.27 | -2.43 (-2.62 to -2.25) | < 0.001 |
Central Europe | 4,328 (4,206 to 4,443) | 3 (2.9 to 3) | 5,856 (5,124 to 6,670) | 2.9 (2.5 to 3.2) | 35.28 | -3.46 | -0.14 (-0.32 to 0.04) | 0.13 |
Central Latin America | 2,008 (1,921 to 2,070) | 2.6 (2.5 to 2.7) | 4,021 (3,391 to 4,707) | 1.7 (1.5 to 2) | 100.29 | -32.79 | -1.4 (-1.73 to -1.07) | < 0.001 |
Central Sub-Saharan Africa | 2,528 (1,184 to 3,312) | 11.6 (5.4 to 15) | 4,509 (2,426 to 6,141) | 9 (4.8 to 12.4) | 78.36 | -22.41 | -0.87 (-1 to -0.74) | < 0.001 |
East Asia | 179,088 (114,836 to 208,583) | 21.6 (13.9 to 24.9) | 263,307 (209,014 to 314,860) | 13 (10.2 to 15.4) | 47.03 | -39.88 | -1.79 (-1.91 to -1.67) | < 0.001 |
Eastern Europe | 12,145 (11,682 to 12,854) | 4.3 (4.1 to 4.6) | 10,655 (9,298 to 12,077) | 3.1 (2.7 to 3.5) | -12.27 | -27.74 | -1 (-1.79 to -0.19) | 0.015 |
Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa | 8,621 (6,513 to 10,074) | 11.9 (9 to 13.9) | 16,940 (12,941 to 21,344) | 10.8 (8.3 to 13.5) | 96.5 | -9.26 | -0.34 (-0.53 to -0.14) | 0.001 |
High-income Asia Pacific | 10,133 (9,655 to 10,392) | 5.1 (4.8 to 5.2) | 16,337 (14,650 to 17,795) | 3.5 (3.2 to 3.8) | 61.23 | -30.39 | -1.26 (-1.41 to -1.11) | < 0.001 |
High-income North America | 12,515 (12,085 to 12,862) | 3.6 (3.5 to 3.7) | 24,152 (22,876 to 25,147) | 3.8 (3.7 to 4) | 92.98 | 6.05 | 0.19 (0.1 to 0.29) | < 0.001 |
North Africa and Middle East | 4,442 (3,157 to 5,290) | 2.7 (2 to 3.2) | 9,968 (7,385 to 11,383) | 2.4 (1.9 to 2.7) | 124.43 | -9.2 | -0.33 (-0.41 to -0.24) | < 0.001 |
Oceania | 63 (48 to 89) | 2.3 (1.8 to 3.3) | 147 (111 to 197) | 2.3 (1.8 to 3) | 132.7 | -1.6 | -0.09 (-0.14 to -0.03) | 0.001 |
South Asia | 25,840 (22,630 to 32,260) | 4.8 (4.2 to 5.9) | 54,161 (46,992 to 72,771) | 3.9 (3.4 to 5.2) | 109.6 | -17.95 | -0.66 (-0.87 to -0.44) | < 0.001 |
Southeast Asia | 7,181 (6,113 to 8,103) | 2.9 (2.5 to 3.3) | 15,330 (13,164 to 17,964) | 2.6 (2.2 to 3.1) | 113.47 | -10.35 | -0.38 (-0.51 to -0.25) | < 0.001 |
Southern Latin America | 3,543 (3,408 to 3,668) | 7.9 (7.6 to 8.2) | 4,067 (3,769 to 4,359) | 4.8 (4.5 to 5.2) | 14.79 | -38.96 | -1.67 (-1.84 to -1.5) | < 0.001 |
Southern Sub-Saharan Africa | 3,764 (2,820 to 4,657) | 13.8 (10.4 to 17.1) | 6,095 (5,489 to 7,002) | 11.3 (10.2 to 12.8) | 61.92 | -18.4 | -0.57 (-1.03 to -0.12) | 0.013 |
Tropical Latin America | 6,205 (5,949 to 6,465) | 6.9 (6.6 to 7.3) | 12,767 (11,996 to 13,448) | 5.2 (4.9 to 5.5) | 105.75 | -24.41 | -0.96 (-1.07 to -0.85) | < 0.001 |
Western Europe | 25,954 (25,117 to 26,463) | 4.6 (4.5 to 4.7) | 34,847 (32,416 to 36,620) | 3.9 (3.6 to 4.1) | 34.26 | -15.7 | -0.6 (-0.65 to -0.55) | < 0.001 |
Western Sub-Saharan Africa | 1,900 (1,642 to 2,234) | 2.2 (1.9 to 2.6) | 5,135 (3,916 to 6,146) | 2.9 (2.2 to 3.4) | 170.25 | 29.32 | 0.9 (0.8 to 0.99) | < 0.001 |
