Table 5 Growth rate and threshold of independent variable in each scenario.
Scenario | Time period | P | W | IS | TI | UR | CEI |
Growth gate | Growth gate | Threshold | Growth gate | Threshold | Growth gate | ||
Low-carbon | 2020–2030 | Min Δ | Min Δ | ≤ Min Δ | Max Δ | ≤ 65% | Min Δ |
2030–2060 | −Max Δ × (1 + 0.2) | Min Δ × (1 + 0.1) | ≤ Min Δ − 5% | Max Δ × (1 + 0.2) | ≤ 70% | Min Δ – 1% | |
Baseline | 2020–2030 | Δ | Δ | ≤ Δ | Δ | ≤ 70% | Δ |
2030–2060 | −Δ × (1 + 0.2) | Δ × (1 + 0.15) | ≤ Δ | Δ × (1 + 0.15) | ≤ 75% | Δ | |
High-carbon | 2020–2030 | Max Δ | Max Δ | ≤ Max Δ | Min Δ | ≤ 75% | Max Δ |
2030–2060 | −Min Δ × (1 − 0.2) | Max Δ × (1 + 0.2) | ≤ Max Δ + 5% | Min Δ × (1 + 0.1) | ≤ 80% | Max Δ + 1% |
