Table 3 Panel unit root and cointegration tests.
Panel unit toot test | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | PCADF-test | PCADF-test | PCADF-test | |||||
Level | 1st Diff | Level | 1st Diff | Level | 1st Diff | |||
Aggrt. Panel | Northern Africa | Central Africa | ||||||
HLTH | -1.956 | -3.245*** | -1.705 | -3.808*** | -0.693 | -3.898*** | ||
FDS | -1.924 | -2.844*** | -4.566 | -3.390** | -2.699 | -3.620*** | ||
CLM | -2.599 | -3.009*** | -1.220 | -3.013* | -1.782 | -4.019*** | ||
GDP | -2.163 | -2.686** | -0.896 | -5.301*** | -1.621 | -3.876*** | ||
GHEXP | -2.214 | -3.474*** | -1.850 | -3.215** | -1.269 | -3.888*** | ||
Eastern Africa | Western Africa | Southern Africa | ||||||
HLTH | -2.211 | -4.765*** | -1.497 | -3.100*** | -1.611 | -2.800* | ||
FDS | -1.772 | -3.427*** | -2.249 | -3.694*** | -2.232 | -2.948** | ||
CLM | -1.103 | -3.836*** | -2.691 | -3.936*** | -2.033 | -3.896*** | ||
GDP | -1.980 | -3.253*** | -2.286 | -2.908 ** | -2.176 | -3.335*** | ||
GHEXP | -2.376 | -2.967** | -2.308 | -3.797*** | -1.870 | -3.055*** | ||
Panel Cointegration tests | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W-E- cointegration test | ||||||||||||
Gt | Ga | Pt | Pa | Gt | Ga | Pt | Pa | |||||
Whole panel | Northern Africa | |||||||||||
-7.954*** | -13.189*** | -14.594*** | -10.545*** | - 3.295*** | - 3.816*** | -4.308*** | -3.144*** | |||||
Eastern Africa | Western Africa | |||||||||||
-2.651*** | - 5.627*** | - 3.800*** | - 4.449*** | -2.987*** | -7.397*** | - 8.117*** | - 6.012*** | |||||
Central Africa | Southern Africa | |||||||||||
-6.993*** | -4.960*** | -5.882*** | -3.897*** | -9.024*** | -6.992*** | - 7.366*** | -5.281*** | |||||
BCS panel cointegration test | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Test-value | Critical values | Test-value | Critical values | Test-value | Critical values | ||||||
10% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 1% | |||
Whole panel | Northern Africa | Central Africa | |||||||||
-2.347*** | -2.03 | -2.11 | -2.26 | -4.484*** | -2.22 | -2.37 | -2.66 | -2.803*** | -2.22 | -2.37 | -2.66 |
Eastern Africa | Western Africa | Southern Africa | |||||||||
-3.846*** | -2.22 | -2.37 | -2.66 | -2.684*** | -2.11 | -2.22 | -2.45 | -5.091*** | -2.16 | -2.28 | -2.52 |