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Correcting model error bias in estimations of neuronal dynamics from time series observations
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  • Published: 11 March 2026

Correcting model error bias in estimations of neuronal dynamics from time series observations

  • Ian Williams1,
  • Joseph D. Taylor1 &
  • Alain Nogaret1 

Scientific Reports , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Biophysics
  • Computational biology and bioinformatics
  • Engineering
  • Neuroscience
  • Physics

Abstract

Neuron models built from experimental data have successfully predicted observed voltage oscillations within and beyond training range. A tantalising prospect is the possibility of estimating the unobserved dynamics of ion channels, which is largely inaccessible to experiment, from membrane voltage recordings. The main roadblock here is our lack of knowledge of the equations governing biological neurons which forces us to rely on surrogate models and parameter estimates biassed by model error. Error correction algorithms are therefore needed to infer both observed and unobserved dynamics, and ultimately the actual parameters of a biological neuron. Here we use a recurrent neural network to correct the outputs of a surrogate Hodgkin-Huxley (HH) model. The reservoir-surrogate HH model hybrid was trained on the voltage oscillations of a reference HH model and its driving current waveform. Out of the six reservoir-surrogate model architectures investigated, we identify one that most accurately recovers the reference membrane voltage and ion channel dynamics. The reservoir was thus effective in correcting model error in an externally driven nonlinear oscillator and in reconstructing the dynamics of both observed and unobserved state variables from the reference model mimicking an actual neuron.

Data availability

The data and code that support the findings of this study are available within the article and from the authors.

Code availability

https://github.com/IanWilliams01/driven-hybrid-reservoir-computing.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Physics, University of Bath, BA2 7AY, Bath, UK

    Ian Williams, Joseph D. Taylor & Alain Nogaret

Authors
  1. Ian Williams
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  2. Joseph D. Taylor
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  3. Alain Nogaret
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Contributions

JDT demonstrated the initial the proof of concept of predicting neuronal oscillations with a reservoir driven by a time dependent current. AN conceived the approach of correcting model error in neuron-based conductance models. IW performed the simulations of hybrid architectures and generated all proof of concept data. IW and AN wrote the manuscript. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alain Nogaret.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Appendix

Appendix

Parameters of the reference Hodgkin-Huxley model:

Sodium channel: \(g_{Na}\)=69 mS.cm\(^{-2}\), \(E_{Na}\)=41mV, \(V_m\)=-39.92 mV, \(dV_m\)=10 mV, \(\tau _{0,m}\)=0143 ms, \(\epsilon _m\)= 0.1 ms, \(dV_{t,m}\)=23 mV, \(V_h\)=-65.37 mV, \(dV_h\)=-17.65 mV, \(\tau _{0,h}\)=0.701 ms, \(\epsilon _h\)= 12.9 ms, \(dV_{t,h}\)=27.22 mV.

Potassium channel: \(g_{K}\)=6.9 mS.cm\(^{-2}\), \(E_{K}\)=-100mV, \(V_n\)=-34.58 mV, \(dV_n\)=22.17 mV, \(\tau _{0,n}\)=1.291 ms, \(\epsilon _n\)= 4.314 ms, \(dV_{t,n}\)=23.58 mV.

Leak channel: \(g_{L}\)=0.165 mS.cm\(^{-2}\), \(E_{L}\)=42mV, \(C=\)1.0\(\mu\)F.cm\(^{-2}\).

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Cite this article

Williams, I., Taylor, J.D. & Nogaret, A. Correcting model error bias in estimations of neuronal dynamics from time series observations. Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-43346-6

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  • Received: 27 August 2025

  • Accepted: 03 March 2026

  • Published: 11 March 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-43346-6

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